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Red247
3570119.4
6092102.5
3535158.9
Blue187
1188132.3
5623120.6
7209104.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266310100200400500247187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#15
158.91.7
166.2164.5
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
red by 26.6
1188
#19
132.32.0
125.4127.5
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Second
3570
#18
119.42.7
110.6113.3
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5
blue by 1.2
5623
#22
120.60.9
124.4125.3
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
Third
6092
#31
102.50.8
104.2103.4
Auto16.1
Teleop78.3
End11.0
blue by 1.8
7209
#38
104.31.4
108.7107.3
Auto13.7
Teleop82.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed