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Red235
6592117.4
2054164.7
721997.1
Blue215
5203107.2
3572154.7
7109110.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291284220240260300320340360380235215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.73.7
147.5151.2
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
red by 9.9
3572
#12
154.72.3
144.8147.0
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
Second
6592
#27
117.40.4
114.4114.8
Auto19.6
Teleop84.2
End14.7
red by 6.9
7109
#13
110.50.3
108.9109.3
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
Third
7219
#25
97.11.6
92.293.8
Auto16.1
Teleop74.6
End8.4
blue by 10.1
5203
#34
107.20.6
106.3105.7
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed