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Qual 442018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red401
6077153.4
6538138.6
5538121.1
Blue335
7211154.1
653398.7
6100158.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29632702004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600401335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#3
153.44.2
127.6→131.8
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
blue by 4.7
6100
#9
158.10.0
157.5→157.4
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
Second
6538
#14
138.61.0
130.4→129.4
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
blue by 15.5
7211
#21
154.11.4
143.8→145.2
Auto15.4
Teleop115.0
End28.3
Third
5538
#17
121.11.2
112.7→113.9
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
red by 22.4
6533
#32
98.70.8
94.5→95.2
Auto15.1
Teleop75.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned