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Red164
5622120.8
6582146.1
7202130.3
Blue281
5222127.1
4819136.9
6963110.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923080100200400500600164281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6582
#11
146.11.5
139.3140.8
Auto22.9
Teleop104.5
End13.8
red by 9.2
4819
#24
136.91.2
133.4134.5
Auto16.7
Teleop104.2
End18.9
Second
7202
#26
130.30.0
131.9131.9
Auto17.0
Teleop97.3
End17.3
red by 3.2
127.11.4
118.5119.9
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
Third
5622
#23
120.81.6
118.8120.4
Auto16.4
Teleop93.1
End13.4
red by 10.0
6963
#29
110.85.1
109.4114.5
Auto16.6
Teleop87.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed