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Red376
3572154.7
6077153.4
5623120.6
Blue289
5612144.3
6753156.3
5982138.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30832602004006008001,0001,2001,400376289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#12
154.71.3
147.0148.3
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
blue by 1.6
6753
#10
156.32.4
147.6149.9
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
Second
153.45.2
131.8137.0
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
red by 9.1
144.31.1
136.7137.8
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
Third
5623
#22
120.61.4
125.1123.6
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
blue by 18.1
5982
#20
138.71.3
142.4141.1
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed