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Qual 562018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red283
5538121.1
5502133.0
573175.6
Blue386
2959170.4
2054164.7
5222127.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289370100200400500600283386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#5
175.61.0
177.5→176.5
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
red by 5.2
2959
#4
170.41.3
160.5→161.8
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
Second
5502
#16
133.01.9
132.9→131.0
Auto16.1
Teleop99.0
End17.4
blue by 31.7
2054
#2
164.72.5
154.1→156.6
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
Third
5538
#17
121.11.7
115.9→117.6
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
blue by 6.1
5222
#6
127.11.6
121.1→122.7
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed