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Red182
5448115.5
6092102.5
6595103.9
Blue354
7209104.3
7202130.3
6077153.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203400100300400500600700182354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#40
115.51.3
115.5116.8
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End18.1
blue by 37.9
153.415.2
81.997.1
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
Second
6595
#41
103.90.9
113.7112.8
Auto15.2
Teleop77.0
End12.1
blue by 26.4
7202
#26
130.31.4
127.3128.7
Auto17.0
Teleop97.3
End17.3
Third
6092
#31
102.51.8
109.3107.5
Auto16.1
Teleop78.3
End11.0
blue by 1.8
7209
#38
104.320.0
97.877.7
Auto13.7
Teleop82.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed