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Qual 72018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red404
1506193.7
2959170.4
6100158.1
Blue202
6592117.4
5612144.3
6102113.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4092240100300500600404202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#1
193.71.9
167.1→169.0
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 49.4
5612
#7
144.30.6
140.7→141.2
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
Second
2959
#4
170.40.9
162.1→161.2
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
red by 52.9
6592
#27
117.40.1
112.5→112.6
Auto19.6
Teleop84.2
End14.7
Third
6100
#9
158.10.3
153.4→153.7
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
red by 44.7
6102
#39
113.414.9
84.4→99.3
Auto17.1
Teleop85.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed