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Red159
3535158.9
6963110.8
653398.7
Blue178
5982138.7
3570119.4
5502133.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473400100200300400500600700159178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#15
158.92.7
175.5172.9
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
red by 20.2
5982
#20
138.71.8
153.1151.3
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Second
6963
#29
110.89.8
77.787.6
Auto16.6
Teleop87.4
End2.2
blue by 22.2
5502
#16
133.011.9
101.3113.2
Auto16.1
Teleop99.0
End17.4
Third
6533
#32
98.70.3
92.392.6
Auto15.1
Teleop75.8
End7.2
blue by 20.7
3570
#18
119.47.5
98.1105.6
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed