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Red231
6077153.4
7109110.5
5231105.8
Blue204
74176.9
5622120.8
5257100.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463020100200400500600231204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.411.9
97.1109.0
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
blue by 23.5
74
#8
176.91.6
161.0162.6
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
Second
7109
#13
110.50.2
106.2106.0
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
blue by 10.2
5622
#23
120.80.7
114.5115.1
Auto16.4
Teleop93.1
End13.4
Third
5231
#36
105.84.5
88.793.2
Auto15.5
Teleop79.1
End10.3
red by 5.7
5257
#35
100.01.3
100.899.5
Auto13.5
Teleop71.0
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed