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Red233
720897.7
1506193.7
5222127.1
Blue191
7109110.5
6753156.3
5623120.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272660100200400500600700233191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.72.6
186.3188.9
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 37.3
6753
#10
156.32.4
151.6154.0
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
Second
127.11.8
122.7124.5
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
red by 6.5
5623
#22
120.60.6
123.6123.0
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
Third
7208
#33
97.71.5
102.6101.1
Auto15.1
Teleop76.2
End2.1
blue by 12.8
7109
#13
110.50.0
109.9109.9
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed