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Red306
5231105.8
659493.9
2054164.7
Blue249
6595103.9
653398.7
6582146.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310254100200400500600700306249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.72.5
156.6159.1
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
red by 18.6
6582
#11
146.11.8
142.8144.5
Auto22.9
Teleop104.5
End13.8
Second
5231
#36
105.81.1
108.2107.1
Auto15.5
Teleop79.1
End10.3
red by 1.9
6595
#41
103.91.3
107.7106.3
Auto15.2
Teleop77.0
End12.1
Third
6594
#28
93.91.5
88.089.5
Auto14.3
Teleop71.5
End10.8
blue by 4.8
6533
#32
98.71.1
97.198.1
Auto15.1
Teleop75.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed