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Red229
5623120.6
6595103.9
4819136.9
Blue340
5612144.3
6538138.6
7109110.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333100100200400500229340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4819
#24
136.90.0
135.3135.3
Auto16.7
Teleop104.2
End18.9
blue by 7.4
144.31.4
139.3140.7
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
Second
5623
#22
120.61.2
123.0121.8
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
blue by 18.0
6538
#14
138.61.4
131.9133.3
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
Third
6595
#41
103.91.4
106.3105.0
Auto15.2
Teleop77.0
End12.1
blue by 6.6
7109
#13
110.50.7
109.9109.1
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed