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Red274
5622120.8
3535158.9
6100158.1
Blue407
6753156.3
573175.6
1506193.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281417100200500600700274407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#15
158.90.9
161.5160.6
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
blue by 34.8
193.71.5
188.9190.4
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
Second
158.10.6
157.4157.9
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
blue by 17.5
573
#5
175.60.0
176.2176.2
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
Third
5622
#23
120.80.2
121.5121.3
Auto16.4
Teleop93.1
End13.4
blue by 35.6
6753
#10
156.31.2
154.0155.2
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed