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Red474
3452165.3
2767202.7
6615121.7
Blue306
4325144.1
5676128.4
2611136.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413257100200300500600700474306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.70.8
198.6199.4
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 58.7
4325
#15
144.10.3
143.8144.1
Auto14.1
Teleop110.8
End19.7
Second
165.30.2
165.5165.3
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
red by 29.0
2611
#25
136.30.2
136.1136.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
Third
6615
#29
121.70.2
122.0121.8
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
blue by 6.7
5676
#14
128.40.4
128.0128.4
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3