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Red371
3452165.3
2767202.7
6615121.7
Blue258
4237149.2
2337172.2
288142.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375310200400500371258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.70.9
200.3201.1
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 30.6
172.20.2
172.0172.2
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
Second
165.30.0
165.2165.2
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
red by 16.1
4237
#12
149.20.1
149.3149.2
Auto17.8
Teleop116.2
End14.0
Third
6615
#29
121.70.0
121.7121.7
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
blue by 20.5
288
#23
142.20.0
142.2142.2
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9