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Red400
4237149.2
2337172.2
288142.2
Blue286
2959162.1
3546161.2
5182126.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386312100200500600400286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.20.3
171.0171.3
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
red by 10.0
2959
#24
162.10.1
162.4162.3
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End30.8
Second
4237
#12
149.20.1
149.5149.4
Auto17.8
Teleop116.2
End14.0
blue by 12.0
161.20.5
160.2160.8
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
Third
288
#23
142.20.0
142.1142.1
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9
red by 15.6
5182
#27
126.50.1
126.4126.5
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1