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Red217
1940118.4
244142.0
3546161.2
Blue411
6615121.7
2474180.9
2959162.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923290100200400500600700217411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.210.5
115.2125.7
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
blue by 19.6
180.912.4
116.3128.6
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
Second
244
#17
142.08.0
106.2114.3
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
blue by 20.2
2959
#24
162.110.3
117.1127.4
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End30.8
Third
1940
#31
118.48.3
101.2109.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End14.2
blue by 3.3
6615
#29
121.79.5
94.4103.9
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed