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Red202
5535146.3
216111.1
4988126.1
Blue164
5110127.4
720395.3
5676128.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132410100200400500600202164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.312.2
93.6105.7
Auto17.8
Teleop110.2
End20.5
red by 17.8
5676
#14
128.48.5
94.2102.6
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
Second
4988
#20
126.112.0
96.0108.0
Auto16.0
Teleop97.2
End12.9
blue by 1.3
5110
#34
127.48.3
101.9110.2
Auto16.9
Teleop99.0
End7.6
Third
216
#36
111.16.8
104.9111.7
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
red by 15.9
7203
#39
95.39.2
77.787.0
Auto14.0
Teleop75.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed