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Red292
5610106.5
5980138.0
3546161.2
Blue426
2767202.7
5204119.7
244142.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272327100200300400500292426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.25.9
125.7131.6
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
blue by 41.5
202.710.9
129.0139.9
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
Second
5980
#22
138.03.8
114.8118.6
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
blue by 4.0
244
#17
142.04.3
114.3118.6
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
Third
5610
#28
106.56.5
95.8102.3
Auto17.2
Teleop80.0
End12.6
blue by 13.2
5204
#18
119.75.6
109.6115.2
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned