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Qual 152018 FIM District St. Joseph Event
Red139
5069126.0
4237149.2
6128105.0
Blue237
4409144.3
5535146.3
6615121.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752960100200400500600700139237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#12
149.28.5
114.4→122.9
Auto17.8
Teleop116.2
End14.0
red by 3.0
5535
#7
146.37.0
105.7→112.8
Auto17.8
Teleop110.2
End20.5
Second
5069
#16
126.07.2
104.2→111.4
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
blue by 18.3
4409
#9
144.39.1
108.1→117.2
Auto15.1
Teleop114.4
End16.0
Third
6128
#30
105.06.3
89.4→95.7
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
blue by 16.7
6615
#29
121.78.8
103.9→112.7
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed