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Red182
5110127.4
613799.6
5227116.3
Blue352
5182126.5
6568120.5
2474180.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303240100200400500600182352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#34
127.45.1
110.2115.3
Auto16.9
Teleop99.0
End7.6
blue by 53.4
180.910.8
128.6139.5
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
Second
5227
#33
116.35.5
97.5103.0
Auto13.2
Teleop91.3
End11.6
blue by 10.2
5182
#27
126.55.2
99.9105.1
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
Third
6137
#38
99.65.9
87.493.3
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End11.3
blue by 20.9
6568
#32
120.54.4
98.1102.5
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed