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Red427
288142.2
5501159.6
85182.3
Blue139
5610106.5
2611136.3
720395.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402410100200300400500600427139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#5
182.310.4
134.4144.8
Auto24.1
Teleop130.8
End25.9
red by 46.0
2611
#25
136.36.8
117.0123.9
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
Second
159.64.4
115.5119.9
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
red by 53.1
5610
#28
106.55.1
102.3107.3
Auto17.2
Teleop80.0
End12.6
Third
288
#23
142.26.0
106.5112.5
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9
red by 46.9
7203
#39
95.35.7
87.092.7
Auto14.0
Teleop75.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed