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Red192
470120.4
3658119.1
216111.1
Blue266
7210104.0
3620155.4
5927123.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279294150200250350400450192266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#13
120.45.8
113.6119.5
Auto15.0
Teleop94.1
End10.5
blue by 35.0
3620
#11
155.42.8
128.6131.4
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
Second
3658
#21
119.17.5
94.0101.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
blue by 4.5
5927
#37
123.58.1
110.4118.6
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
Third
216
#36
111.13.5
111.7115.2
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
red by 7.1
7210
#35
104.06.3
89.195.4
Auto13.8
Teleop76.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed