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Qual 22018 FIM District St. Joseph Event
Red227
5204119.7
7210104.0
4325144.1
Blue193
5501159.6
5110127.4
1940118.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713120100200400500600227193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#15
144.114.1
91.6→105.8
Auto14.1
Teleop110.8
End19.7
blue by 15.5
5501
#3
159.613.9
93.7→107.6
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
Second
5204
#18
119.714.8
85.2→100.0
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
blue by 7.7
5110
#34
127.414.6
87.3→101.9
Auto16.9
Teleop99.0
End7.6
Third
7210
#35
104.025.5
103.3→77.7
Auto13.8
Teleop76.9
End14.1
blue by 14.4
1940
#31
118.414.7
86.5→101.2
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed