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Red169
5069126.0
1254120.0
5980138.0
Blue135
613799.6
5182126.5
5676128.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052590100200400500600169135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#22
138.013.7
95.3109.1
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
red by 9.6
5676
#14
128.415.5
78.694.2
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
Second
5069
#16
126.015.1
82.497.5
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
blue by 0.6
5182
#27
126.515.9
75.291.1
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
Third
1254
#19
120.016.5
70.486.9
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End15.8
red by 20.3
6137
#38
99.617.7
59.877.5
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed