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Red471
2337172.2
2767202.7
85182.3
Blue75
5610106.5
662798.3
3658119.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379207010030050060070047175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.711.4
117.5129.0
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 83.7
3658
#21
119.116.5
70.286.7
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
Second
85
#5
182.312.1
111.0123.1
Auto24.1
Teleop130.8
End25.9
red by 75.8
5610
#28
106.515.3
80.495.8
Auto17.2
Teleop80.0
End12.6
Third
172.213.0
102.5115.5
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
red by 73.9
6627
#40
98.31.6
111.1109.5
Auto13.0
Teleop77.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed