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Red253
288142.2
3620155.4
216111.1
Blue385
5535146.3
3546161.2
3452165.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043130100200400500600700253385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#11
155.412.1
111.1123.2
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
blue by 9.9
165.311.9
112.6124.6
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
Second
288
#23
142.214.9
84.499.3
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9
blue by 19.1
161.213.0
102.2115.2
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
Third
216
#36
111.114.2
90.7104.9
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
blue by 35.1
146.315.6
77.993.6
Auto17.8
Teleop110.2
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed