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Red219
244142.0
6568120.5
5069126.0
Blue339
5927123.5
216111.1
4409144.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271293150200250350400450219339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#17
142.05.9
118.6124.5
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
blue by 2.3
144.35.9
117.2123.1
Auto15.1
Teleop114.4
End16.0
Second
5069
#16
126.04.3
111.4115.7
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
red by 2.4
5927
#37
123.55.6
118.6124.2
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
Third
6568
#32
120.54.9
102.5107.4
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
red by 9.4
216
#36
111.10.2
115.2115.4
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed