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Red290
5676128.4
2611136.3
3658119.1
Blue369
288142.2
5535146.3
662798.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276255100150200300350400450290369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#25
136.32.4
123.9126.2
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
blue by 10.0
146.34.5
112.8117.3
Auto17.8
Teleop110.2
End20.5
Second
5676
#14
128.42.7
107.8110.5
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
blue by 13.8
288
#23
142.26.7
112.5119.2
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9
Third
3658
#21
119.12.8
101.5104.3
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
red by 20.8
6627
#40
98.32.1
104.7102.6
Auto13.0
Teleop77.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed