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Red307
5110127.4
3620155.4
6568120.5
Blue220
4988126.1
3658119.1
5980138.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299297220240260280320340307220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#11
155.43.6
135.4139.0
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
red by 17.4
5980
#22
138.02.0
124.6126.6
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
Second
5110
#34
127.41.5
121.2122.7
Auto16.9
Teleop99.0
End7.6
red by 1.3
4988
#20
126.11.5
124.6126.1
Auto16.0
Teleop97.2
End12.9
Third
6568
#32
120.50.8
111.2112.0
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
red by 1.4
3658
#21
119.13.6
108.5112.1
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed