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Red569
2611136.3
5501159.6
3452165.3
Blue334
3546161.2
4409144.3
613799.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358273100200300400500569334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.35.0
153.7158.7
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
red by 4.1
161.22.8
140.4143.2
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
Second
159.64.0
129.9133.9
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
red by 15.3
144.35.6
128.1133.8
Auto15.1
Teleop114.4
End16.0
Third
2611
#25
136.32.4
130.1132.5
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
red by 36.6
6137
#38
99.62.1
100.9102.9
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed