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Red339
2767202.7
216111.1
5152150.7
Blue176
85182.3
5056114.4
5204119.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353319200250300400450500339176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.77.0
167.3174.3
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 20.4
85
#5
182.37.3
163.3170.6
Auto24.1
Teleop130.8
End25.9
Second
5152
#10
150.76.1
132.5138.6
Auto20.1
Teleop110.3
End23.4
red by 31.0
5204
#18
119.70.2
124.3124.1
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
Third
216
#36
111.10.8
116.4117.2
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
blue by 3.2
5056
#26
114.42.6
115.8118.4
Auto16.8
Teleop83.5
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed