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Red335
470120.4
5676128.4
5501159.6
Blue249
244142.0
5227116.3
6615121.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953100100200400500600700335249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.63.1
133.9137.0
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
red by 17.6
244
#17
142.03.2
132.9136.1
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
Second
5676
#14
128.42.4
115.6117.9
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
red by 6.7
6615
#29
121.72.8
123.6126.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
Third
470
#13
120.40.4
118.6118.2
Auto15.0
Teleop94.1
End10.5
red by 4.0
5227
#33
116.32.1
109.4111.5
Auto13.2
Teleop91.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed