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Red450
2767202.7
5927123.5
2474180.9
Blue187
2611136.3
4988126.1
3620155.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411262100200300500600700450187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.74.5
174.3178.8
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 47.4
3620
#11
155.43.7
139.0142.6
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
Second
180.94.2
160.0164.2
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
red by 44.6
2611
#25
136.32.0
132.5134.5
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
Third
5927
#37
123.51.2
130.4131.6
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
blue by 2.6
4988
#20
126.10.6
126.1126.7
Auto16.0
Teleop97.2
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed