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Red419
5056114.4
4325144.1
5501159.6
Blue278
5069126.0
5204119.7
3546161.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993230100200400500600700419278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.64.1
137.0141.1
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
blue by 1.7
161.23.4
143.2146.6
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
Second
4325
#15
144.10.3
132.7132.4
Auto14.1
Teleop110.8
End19.7
red by 18.1
5069
#16
126.03.5
121.7125.2
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
Third
5056
#26
114.40.6
118.4117.8
Auto16.8
Teleop83.5
End15.3
blue by 5.4
5204
#18
119.71.5
121.6120.1
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed