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Red346
4409144.3
2474180.9
662798.3
Blue317
6568120.5
2959162.1
5535146.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2983250200400600800346317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.93.7
164.2167.9
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
red by 18.7
2959
#24
162.10.7
157.9158.6
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End30.8
Second
144.30.6
139.1139.7
Auto15.1
Teleop114.4
End16.0
blue by 2.0
146.33.0
133.6136.6
Auto17.8
Teleop110.2
End20.5
Third
6627
#40
98.30.7
100.8100.0
Auto13.0
Teleop77.1
End8.3
blue by 22.2
6568
#32
120.53.4
113.8117.2
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed