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Red305
5227116.3
4988126.1
6128105.0
Blue243
5980138.0
5927123.5
288142.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153710100300400500600305243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#20
126.11.6
126.7125.1
Auto16.0
Teleop97.2
End12.9
blue by 16.1
288
#23
142.22.6
140.4143.0
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9
Second
5227
#33
116.30.9
111.5112.4
Auto13.2
Teleop91.3
End11.6
blue by 21.7
5980
#22
138.02.9
127.6130.5
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
Third
6128
#30
105.02.7
105.5102.7
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
blue by 18.5
5927
#37
123.51.8
131.6133.4
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed