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Red370
4325144.1
5676128.4
2337172.2
Blue208
613799.6
85182.3
5927123.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348294100200400500370208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.23.5
161.2164.7
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
blue by 10.1
85
#5
182.33.7
176.9180.6
Auto24.1
Teleop130.8
End25.9
Second
4325
#15
144.11.8
135.0136.8
Auto14.1
Teleop110.8
End19.7
red by 20.5
5927
#37
123.51.0
133.4132.4
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
Third
5676
#14
128.42.5
121.5124.0
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
red by 28.8
6137
#38
99.62.8
106.3103.5
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed