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Red294
2959162.1
7210104.0
5182126.5
Blue361
5501159.6
5610106.5
216111.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316297150200250350400450500294361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#24
162.11.2
158.6159.8
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End30.8
red by 2.6
159.65.0
141.1146.1
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
Second
5182
#27
126.51.8
120.8122.6
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
red by 15.4
216
#36
111.11.5
114.9113.4
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
Third
7210
#35
104.00.2
102.8102.6
Auto13.8
Teleop76.9
End14.1
blue by 2.5
5610
#28
106.50.7
101.3102.0
Auto17.2
Teleop80.0
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed