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Red210
244142.0
288142.2
5056114.4
Blue425
5980138.0
2611136.3
2767202.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273393100200300500600210425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#23
142.20.4
142.4142.8
Auto17.4
Teleop113.8
End9.9
blue by 60.6
202.74.5
187.4191.9
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
Second
244
#17
142.01.1
139.1140.2
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
red by 4.0
5980
#22
138.01.0
130.3131.3
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
Third
5056
#26
114.41.4
118.4117.0
Auto16.8
Teleop83.5
End15.3
blue by 21.9
2611
#25
136.30.1
134.8134.7
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsEarned