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Red326
613799.6
1940118.4
3658119.1
Blue306
5182126.5
216111.1
5056114.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333140100200400500326306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#21
119.11.1
116.6117.7
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
blue by 7.5
5182
#27
126.52.2
122.6124.8
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
Second
1940
#31
118.42.3
122.3120.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End14.2
red by 4.0
5056
#26
114.41.1
117.0115.9
Auto16.8
Teleop83.5
End15.3
Third
6137
#38
99.62.6
103.5100.9
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End11.3
blue by 11.5
216
#36
111.10.2
113.4113.2
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed