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Red299
2474180.9
5501159.6
720395.3
Blue292
2767202.7
6568120.5
5676128.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308381100200500600299292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.91.8
174.6176.5
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
blue by 21.9
202.74.1
191.9196.0
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
Second
159.63.6
150.2153.8
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
red by 31.1
5676
#14
128.41.2
126.5127.7
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
Third
7203
#39
95.31.7
97.595.8
Auto14.0
Teleop75.1
End6.3
blue by 25.2
6568
#32
120.50.6
120.6121.1
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsMissed