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Red303
2959162.1
5204119.7
1254120.0
Blue467
6128105.0
5980138.0
3620155.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317310100200400500600303467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#24
162.10.8
161.6162.5
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End30.8
red by 6.8
3620
#11
155.42.4
145.3147.7
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
Second
1254
#19
120.02.3
116.8119.0
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End15.8
blue by 18.0
5980
#22
138.01.7
131.3133.0
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
Third
5204
#18
119.70.0
120.3120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
red by 14.7
6128
#30
105.00.3
102.8103.1
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed