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Red454
5531161.7
5843162.3
1481139.5
Blue69
5619108.7
6567103.9
6136102.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326207040060080045469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.311.8
101.3113.1
Auto23.3
Teleop122.7
End15.5
red by 53.6
5619
#25
108.713.2
83.596.7
Auto16.4
Teleop80.3
End8.4
Second
161.79.3
94.8104.0
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
red by 57.8
6567
#27
103.911.3
75.787.0
Auto14.3
Teleop84.1
End6.5
Third
1481
#15
139.58.2
112.2120.4
Auto15.5
Teleop110.8
End13.7
red by 36.7
6136
#32
102.88.9
79.388.2
Auto14.1
Teleop79.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed