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Red215
4768125.9
4758106.3
3302113.8
Blue312
3538185.1
1701150.1
5065119.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1933360100400500600700800215312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#23
125.98.2
80.088.2
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4
blue by 59.1
185.110.9
114.3125.2
Auto26.1
Teleop137.8
End21.6
Second
3302
#24
113.86.5
89.896.3
Auto14.0
Teleop89.3
End11.2
blue by 36.4
1701
#11
150.111.1
109.8120.9
Auto17.9
Teleop107.7
End26.7
Third
4758
#34
106.311.3
73.484.7
Auto16.1
Teleop82.9
End8.1
blue by 12.9
5065
#19
119.29.1
77.286.3
Auto11.3
Teleop94.2
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed