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Red140
5217113.2
485497.0
1502118.3
Blue397
5901121.3
3538185.1
4768125.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2102790100400500600140397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#21
118.31.1
113.0114.1
Auto15.3
Teleop92.5
End13.2
blue by 66.8
185.18.6
125.2133.7
Auto26.1
Teleop137.8
End21.6
Second
5217
#22
113.26.5
103.4109.9
Auto12.0
Teleop94.0
End5.1
blue by 12.7
4768
#23
125.96.1
88.294.3
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4
Third
4854
#26
97.03.5
83.286.7
Auto13.9
Teleop78.6
End2.8
blue by 24.3
121.35.7
96.7102.3
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed