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Red268
573173.7
6096101.4
4758106.3
Blue186
6136102.8
5467135.8
519794.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3061670100400500600700800268186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#2
173.77.4
122.9130.3
Auto21.0
Teleop129.9
End24.8
red by 37.9
5467
#18
135.82.9
93.896.7
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
Second
4758
#34
106.38.2
84.793.0
Auto16.1
Teleop82.9
End8.1
red by 3.5
6136
#32
102.83.7
88.291.9
Auto14.1
Teleop79.5
End8.7
Third
6096
#29
101.44.8
87.091.8
Auto12.6
Teleop78.6
End7.6
red by 7.4
5197
#40
94.01.2
84.785.9
Auto10.7
Teleop79.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed