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Red65
67169.9
7232106.6
484088.3
Blue397
4838114.8
4680140.9
5843162.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214316010040050060070065397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#5
169.95.0
140.6145.6
Auto23.1
Teleop116.5
End33.8
red by 7.6
162.311.6
113.1124.7
Auto23.3
Teleop122.7
End15.5
Second
7232
#31
106.65.8
86.191.9
Auto13.8
Teleop81.8
End13.6
blue by 34.2
140.96.0
110.4116.5
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
Third
4840
#35
88.33.1
85.989.0
Auto12.0
Teleop70.0
End7.5
blue by 26.5
4838
#16
114.86.6
88.294.8
Auto14.1
Teleop86.0
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed