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Red258
67169.9
6096101.4
564294.7
Blue302
33184.0
4758106.3
1481139.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643270100200400500600700258302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#5
169.911.1
120.9132.0
Auto23.1
Teleop116.5
End33.8
blue by 14.1
33
#3
184.010.0
131.7141.7
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End25.9
Second
6096
#29
101.418.2
55.473.6
Auto12.6
Teleop78.6
End7.6
blue by 38.1
1481
#15
139.513.4
98.8112.2
Auto15.5
Teleop110.8
End13.7
Third
5642
#37
94.717.5
60.978.4
Auto13.4
Teleop74.0
End5.0
blue by 11.6
4758
#34
106.318.2
55.373.4
Auto16.1
Teleop82.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed